Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.007081 0.007965 0.008932 0.010069 0.011373 0.012826 0.014571
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.005862 0.007105 0.008584 0.010484 0.012875 0.015806 0.019701
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004970 0.006319 0.008013 0.010320 0.013409 0.017450 0.023210
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004415 0.005833 0.007696 0.010355 0.014105 0.019287 0.027135
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003909 0.005331 0.007269 0.010145 0.014385 0.020526 0.030321
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003633 0.005101 0.007171 0.010361 0.015260 0.022681 0.035131
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003339 0.004810 0.006946 0.010347 0.015764 0.024308 0.039311
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002980 0.004385 0.006476 0.009897 0.015521 0.024700 0.041470
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002765 0.004155 0.006275 0.009841 0.015890 0.026115 0.045568
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002693 0.004136 0.006397 0.010312 0.017180 0.029235 0.053205
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002456 0.003837 0.006041 0.009946 0.016975 0.029678 0.055825
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002270 0.003603 0.005773 0.009701 0.016952 0.030438 0.059163
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002144 0.003465 0.005662 0.009736 0.017476 0.032349 0.065298
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002088 0.003441 0.005744 0.010131 0.018730 0.035867 0.075543
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001950 0.003264 0.005541 0.009974 0.018885 0.037175 0.081080
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001854 0.003152 0.005445 0.010007 0.019422 0.039346 0.089021
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001734 0.002988 0.005240 0.009806 0.019446 0.040401 0.094421
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001679 0.002938 0.005241 0.010013 0.020357 0.043552 0.105731
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001600 0.002837 0.005138 0.009999 0.020782 0.045642 0.114670
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001477 0.002646 0.004848 0.009567 0.020223 0.045322 0.116945
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001408 0.002553 0.004740 0.009513 0.020523 0.047134 0.125637
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001398 0.002574 0.004862 0.009966 0.022061 0.052269 0.145255
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001305 0.002425 0.004630 0.009614 0.021626 0.052247 0.149072